By Maria Weber
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Additional resources for After the Asian Crises: Perspectives on Global Politics and Economics
4 billion by the end of 1992 up to 1997 (China Perspectives, May–June 1998). Japanese sources have estimated US$ 15 billion for the same period and more recently, 26 Area Studies the American and Taiwanese press have mentioned a ﬁgure of over US$ 20 billion invested by 25 000 ﬁrms. The economic integration between Taiwan and China is so deep that it makes the hypothesis of an armed conﬂict very unrealistic and certainly rather ‘inconvenient’. The recent trip to China by Koo Chen-fu, the Taiwan’s chief negotiator with Beijing, which reopened the path to a diplomatic solution, should be interpreted in the light of the above.
Is this the path that Japan and South Korea will follow? The chapter seeks to highlight some of the issues raised by the crisis and the future prospects of both economies, focusing particularly on Japan as the main economy and market of the region, but also the socio-economic model that has inspired many of the reforms and the policies of Asian countries. 1 Japan’s economic and ﬁnancial crisis: the future of the Japanese model and its role in the Asian region Today Japan is in the midst of the most severe and protracted economic crisis of the post-war period.
The gradualness of the process taking place is worrying because the absence of an institutional mouthpiece for local interests transform them automatically into obstacles to the efﬁcient functioning of the institutional apparatus and in some areas have generated dangerous secessionist tendencies. The times of the three-speed China are over. Today the task of the Chinese government is to keep united and co-ordinate the many different Chinas, whose coexistence is becoming more and more complex. And there is every reason to believe that the CCP will only be able to continue ruling the country as long as it can rise to this challenge of complexity and pluralism.